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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Sep 26 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center has re-initiated advisories on
Tropical Storm Kirk, located a few hundred miles east of the
Windward Islands.

1. A weak low pressure area located about 100 miles southeast
of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, is producing disorganized shower
activity, well to the east of the center.  Strong upper-level
winds are expected to inhibit development of this system.  The low
is forecast to move northeastward this morning, and it could produce
scattered showers and dangerous surf and rip currents across eastern
North Carolina as it passes by.  The low is expected to continue
moving northeastward and merge with a frontal system or dissipate
offshore of the New England coast on Thursday.  For more
information, please see products from your local National Weather
Service office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

2. Post-Tropical Cyclone Leslie located several hundred miles
west-southwest of the Azores is producing disorganized shower
activity and gale-force winds.  Leslie is expected to reacquire
subtropical or tropical characteristics on Thursday or Friday while
the cyclone meanders over the north-central Atlantic.  For more
information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Public Advisories on Kirk are issued under WMO header
WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
Forecast/Advisories on Kirk are issued under WMO header
WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
on the Web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.

Forecaster Pasch




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