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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

200 PM EDT FRI OCT 10 2014

Corrected to change category of first system from low to medium

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly
formed Subtropical Depression Seven located several hundred miles
south of Bermuda.

1. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave
located about 700 miles east of the Lesser Antilles has changed
little in organization today. However, environmental conditions are
conducive for gradual development of this system during the next
several days while it moves westward or west-northwestward at about
10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

2. A concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms located several
hundred miles west of the Cape Verde Islands is associated with
a westward-moving tropical wave.  Upper-level winds are not
favorable, and significant development of this system is unlikely.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Forecaster Kimberlain

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