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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sun Sep 22 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Offshore of Southern Mexico (EP94):
Showers and thunderstorms continue to become better organized in 
association with an area of low pressure located less than 200 miles 
south of the coast of southern Mexico.  Environmental conditions 
appear conducive for additional development, and a tropical 
depression or tropical storm is likely to form during the next day 
or two while the system drifts northeastward or northward toward the 
coast of southern Mexico.  Interests in southern Mexico should 
monitor the progress of this system, as watches or warnings could be 
required later today or tonight.  Regardless of development, this 
system is expected to produce heavy rains over portions of southern 
Mexico this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

2. Central Portion of the East Pacific:
A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles 
west-southwest of southwestern Mexico is producing disorganized 
showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions appear 
conducive for some slow development of this system, and a tropical 
depression could form during the middle part of the week while the 
system moves slowly eastward or northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.


Forecaster Hagen