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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
200 AM HST Sat Aug 17 2024

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

1. Approximately 650 miles southeast of Hilo, Hawaii:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms are associated with a broad 
area of low pressure. Environmental conditions appear marginally 
conducive for some development of this system early next week while 
moving westward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


2. Approximately 2050 miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii:
A broad area of low pressure is expected to form this weekend or 
early next week more than one thousand miles west-southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Thereafter, slow 
development of this system is anticipated, and a tropical 
depression is likely form during the middle part of next week while 
it moves westward to west-northwestward across the western portion 
of the basin and into the Central Pacific basin. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.


3. Approximately 1350 miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii:
A small area of low pressure located well southeast of the Hawaiian 
Islands is associated with some disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms. Some development of this system is possible this 
weekend into early next week while it moves slowly over the western 
portion of the East Pacific or Central Pacific basin. By the middle 
of next week, this system could merge with a larger system expected 
to develop to its east. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.



Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days.

Forecaster M Ballard