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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sat Jun 28 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Yucatan Peninsula and Bay of Campeche (AL91):
Satellite imagery and surface observations indicate that the broad 
low pressure area over the southwestern Yucatan Peninsula is 
emerging over the Bay of Campeche.  This system is currently 
producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms 
over the Yucatan Peninsula and the adjacent waters. Some 
development is possible today and Sunday as the low moves generally 
west-northwestward, and a tropical depression could form during 
this time. By Monday, this system should move inland over eastern 
Mexico, ending its chances of development. Regardless of 
development, locally heavy rains are possible over portions of 
Belize, Guatemala, and southeastern and eastern Mexico during the 
next few days. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 
scheduled to investigate the system later today, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.



Forecaster Beven