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HURRICANE DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052023
1500 UTC THU AUG 03 2023
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 120.1W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 16 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 75SE 75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 120.1W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 119.3W
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 14.6N 122.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 14.2N 125.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 13.9N 128.6W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 13.6N 131.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 13.4N 134.8W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 13.1N 138.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 13.0N 145.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 13.0N 153.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 120.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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