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HURRICANE DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052023
1500 UTC THU AUG 03 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 120.1W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  75SE  75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 120.1W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 119.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 14.6N 122.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 14.2N 125.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 13.9N 128.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 13.6N 131.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 13.4N 134.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 13.1N 138.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 13.0N 145.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 13.0N 153.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 120.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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