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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062022
1500 UTC FRI JUL 15 2022
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 100.8W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 100.8W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 100.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 12.7N 101.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 13.6N 103.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 14.4N 104.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 15.2N 106.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 15.9N 108.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 16.7N 110.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 18.0N 115.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 19.5N 120.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N 100.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART
 
 
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