ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA
TROPICAL STORM BONNIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042022
1500 UTC SAT JUL 02 2022
CORRECTED ADVISORY NUMBER
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 105W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 41(50) 1(51)
15N 105W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) X(20)
15N 105W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9)
L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 3(13) X(13)
ZIHUATANEJO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 2(13) X(13)
10N 100W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
15N 100W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 48(50) 1(51) X(51)
15N 100W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) X(17) X(17)
15N 100W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ACAPULCO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) X(15) X(15)
P MALDONADO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
P ANGEL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 4(13) X(13) X(13)
HUATULCO 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
10N 95W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
15N 95W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13)
P SAN JOSE 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
10N 90W 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
15N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 28(39)
15N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16)
15N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
20N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 21(24)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10)
15N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
$$
FORECASTER HOGSETT
NNNN
NHC on Facebook
Twitter
YouTube
NHC Blog: