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HURRICANE BONNIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042022
0900 UTC THU JUL 07 2022
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 112.5W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 112.5W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 111.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 17.7N 114.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 18.4N 117.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 19.0N 120.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 19.6N 124.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 19.9N 128.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 20.1N 131.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 112.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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