ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM AAA                                             
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM JULIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9...AMENDED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132022               
1500 UTC SAT OCT 08 2022

AMENDED TO ADD ADDITIONAL LOCATIONS IN CENTRAL AMERICA
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JULIA WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 12.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
PUERTO BARRIOS 34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
GUANAJA        34  X   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
SAN ANDRES     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
SAN ANDRES     50 88   4(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)
SAN ANDRES     64 24   5(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
 
PUERTO CABEZAS 34  4  37(41)   1(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)
PUERTO CABEZAS 50  X   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
BLUEFIELDS     34  2  71(73)   1(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)
BLUEFIELDS     50  X  38(38)   3(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)
BLUEFIELDS     64  X   7( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
MANAGUA        34  X  15(15)  29(44)   1(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)
MANAGUA        50  X   2( 2)  17(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
MANAGUA        64  X   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
TEGUCIGALPA    34  X   6( 6)  17(23)   3(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
TEGUCIGALPA    50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
P SAN JOSE     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   5(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
GUATEMALA CITY 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
LIMON          34  2   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BERG                                                     
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