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HURRICANE IAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24...RETRANSMITTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092022
1500 UTC WED SEP 28 2022
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
A STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE MOUTH OF THE ST.
MARY'S RIVER TO THE MOUTH OF THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER...SOUTH
CAROLINA.
A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM SEBASTIAN INLET...FLORIDA
NORTHWARD TO THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE...FLORIDA.
A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY
LINE TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO LITTLE
RIVER INLET...SOUTH CAROLINA.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHOKOLOSKEE TO ANCLOTE RIVER...INCLUDING TAMPA BAY
* DRY TORTUGAS
* SEBASTIAN INLET TO FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE
A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SUWANNEE RIVER SOUTHWARD TO FLAMINGO
* TAMPA BAY
* LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM BIG PINE KEY WESTWARD TO KEY WEST
* DRY TORTUGAS
* FLAGLER/VOLUSIA LINE TO THE MOUTH OF THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
* ST. JOHNS RIVER
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF LA HABANA...MAYABEQUE...AND MATANZAS
* INDIAN PASS TO THE ANCLOTE RIVER
* ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS
* FLAMINGO TO SEBASTIAN INLET
* FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE TO LITTLE RIVER INLET
* FLAMINGO TO CHOKOLOSKEE
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE
* FLORIDA BAY
* BIMINI AND GRAND BAHAMA ISLANDS
A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE CARD SOUND BRIDGE WESTWARD TO EAST OF BIG
PINE KEY
* FLORIDA BAY
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE
A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN
THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE
SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING
GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING
SITUATION.
PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER
INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 82.5W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 937 MB
EYE DIAMETER 30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT.......120NE 140SE 100SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 120SE 300SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 82.5W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 82.7W
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 27.3N 82.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...210NE 130SE 120SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 28.3N 81.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...310NE 130SE 120SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 29.3N 80.8W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...120NE 40SE 40SW 90NW.
34 KT...320NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 30.8N 80.6W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...250NE 120SE 60SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 32.9N 80.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 34.7N 81.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 36.0N 81.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.3N 82.5W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 28/1800Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
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