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HURRICANE FIONA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072022
1500 UTC SUN SEP 18 2022
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS IS DISCONTINUED.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
* THE COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO CAUCEDO TO CABO
FRANCES VIEJO
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO
WESTWARD TO PUERTO PLATA
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO
WESTWARD TO PUERTO PLATA
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WEST OF CABO CAUCEDO TO
BARAHONA
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED
ISLAND...LONG
CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED
TO COMPLETION.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE
THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 66.5W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......110NE 120SE 30SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 66.5W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 66.1W
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 17.9N 67.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 40SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 18.9N 68.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 40SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 20.3N 69.3W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 60SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 21.8N 70.1W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 80SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 23.2N 70.6W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 80SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 24.6N 70.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 120NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 28.5N 69.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 34.8N 64.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 66.5W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 18/1800Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
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