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HURRICANE RICK WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172021
0300 UTC SUN OCT 24 2021
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RICK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.3
NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75
KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 7(10) X(10) X(10)
ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
ISLAS MARIAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
P VALLARTA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 7(13) X(13) X(13)
P VALLARTA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
P VALLARTA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
15N 105W 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 13(20) 6(26) X(26) X(26)
BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
BARRA NAVIDAD 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
MANZANILLO 34 X 3( 3) 16(19) 17(36) 3(39) X(39) X(39)
MANZANILLO 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14)
MANZANILLO 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
L CARDENAS 34 2 59(61) 31(92) 2(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
L CARDENAS 50 X 16(16) 48(64) 3(67) 1(68) X(68) X(68)
L CARDENAS 64 X 4( 4) 31(35) 3(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
ZIHUATANEJO 34 3 64(67) 17(84) 2(86) X(86) X(86) X(86)
ZIHUATANEJO 50 X 20(20) 23(43) 1(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)
ZIHUATANEJO 64 X 5( 5) 14(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
15N 100W 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ACAPULCO 34 1 8( 9) 5(14) X(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15)
P MALDONADO 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN
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