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HURRICANE NORA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142021
0300 UTC SUN AUG 29 2021
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.3
NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65
KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
PUNTA EUGENIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 1 2( 3) 5( 8) 5(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 2 2( 4) 8(12) 5(17) 2(19) X(19) X(19)
LA PAZ 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 5(11) 1(12) X(12)
LORETO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 9(10) 2(12) X(12)
HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5)
BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 2(11)
GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 9(11) 6(17) 2(19)
GUAYMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 9(12) 2(14) 1(15)
LOS MOCHIS 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 11(16) 7(23) X(23) X(23)
LOS MOCHIS 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CULIACAN 34 1 16(17) 18(35) 3(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39)
CULIACAN 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ISLAS MARIAS 50 35 X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35)
MAZATLAN 34 93 2(95) X(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
MAZATLAN 50 48 14(62) 1(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63)
MAZATLAN 64 5 8(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
SAN BLAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SAN BLAS 50 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
P VALLARTA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
P VALLARTA 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
20N 110W 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY
NNNN
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