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TROPICAL STORM NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142021
2100 UTC THU AUG 26 2021
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM
TECPAN DE GALEANA TO MANZANILLO MEXICO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TECPAN DE GALEANA TO MANZANILLO MEXICO
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO AND
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF NORA.  ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE 
REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS TONIGHT AND ON FRIDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 101.7W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......180NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE   0SE   0SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 101.7W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 101.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 14.1N 102.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...180NE 130SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 15.3N 103.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 16.8N 104.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.6N 105.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 20.3N 106.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 21.6N 107.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  90SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 23.6N 110.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 25.2N 111.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N 101.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPEP4...AT 27/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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