ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL
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Hurricane Enrique Intermediate Advisory Number 14A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052021
1200 PM MDT Mon Jun 28 2021
...ENRIQUE WEAKENING AS IT BEGINS TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE SOUTHWESTERN
...HURRICANE WARNING DISCONTINUED...
SUMMARY OF 1200 PM MDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM W OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 240 MI...385 KM SE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.85 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The government of Mexico has discontinued all watches and warnings
south of Playa Perula. In addition, the Hurricane Warning that was
in effect from Cabo Corrientes to Playa Perula has been changed to
a Tropical Storm Warning.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Punta Mita to Playa Perula Mexico
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Punta Mita to San Blas Mexico
* Cabo San Lucas to Los Barriles
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
At 1200 PM MDT (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Enrique was
located near latitude 20.6 North, longitude 107.1 West. Enrique is
now moving toward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h). This motion is
expected to continue for the next few days. On the forecast track,
the core of Enrique will continue to move away from the southwestern
coast of Mexico this afternoon. Enrique is then expected to move
near or over portions of the southern Baja California Peninsula on
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 80 mph (130 km/h)
with higher gusts. Weakening is forecasted over the next several
days. Enrique is expected to weaken below hurricane intensity by
tomorrow, but is still expected to be a tropical storm when it moves
near the southern Baja California Peninsula on Wednesday.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90
miles (150 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 979 mb (28.85 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Key messages for Enrique can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5, WMO header WTPZ45
KNHC, and on the web at
WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue within portions of
the Tropical Storm Warning area through today. Tropical storm
conditions are possible in the Tropical Storm Watch area today along
the southwestern coast of Mexico and for the southeastern portion of
the Baja California Peninsula by Wednesday.
RAINFALL: Through Tuesday, the eastern outer bands of Enrique are
expected to produce total rainfall amounts of 6 to 12 inches with
isolated maximum amounts of 18 inches over Colima and coastal
sections of Jalisco and Nayarit in western Mexico. These amounts may
produce life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides.
SURF: Swells generated by Enrique will affect the southwestern
coast of Mexico during the next few days. These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.
Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT.