ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Hurricane Enrique Intermediate Advisory Number 11A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052021
700 PM CDT Sun Jun 27 2021
...CORE OF ENRIQUE LURKING JUST OFFSHORE THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF
...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL AFFECTING THE
SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 360 MI...575 KM SE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...977 MB...28.85 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Playa Perula to Cabo Corrientes Mexico
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Manzanillo to Playa Perula Mexico
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula
* Cabo Corrientes to Punta Mita Mexico
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Punta Mita to San Blas Mexico
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area.
Interests in southern portions of the Baja California peninsula
should monitor the progress of Enrique.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Enrique was
located near latitude 19.4 North, longitude 105.8 West. Enrique is
moving toward the north near 8 mph (13 km/h). A turn toward the
north-northwest and then northwest is expected to begin tonight.
That general motion should continue thereafter for a few days. On
the forecast track, the core of the hurricane, along with the
strongest winds, are expected to pass near the southwestern coast
of Mexico tonight.
Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is expected tonight. Enrique is
then forecast to begin weakening on Monday and continue to weaken
through early this week.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105
miles (165 km). A wind gust to 46 mph (74 km/h) was recently
reported at Manzanillo, Mexico.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 977 mb (28.85 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Key messages for Hurricane Enrique can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5, WMO header WTPZ45
KNHC, and on the web at
WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the
Hurricane Warning area tonight or early Monday. Tropical storm
conditions are occuring in portions of the tropical storm warning
area and will continue to spread northwestward through tonight.
Hurricane conditions are possible in the Hurricane Watch area
tonight. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the Tropical
Storm Watch area tonight and Monday.
RAINFALL: Through Tuesday, the eastern outer bands of Enrique are
expected to produce total rainfall amounts of 6 to 12 inches with
isolated maximum amounts of 18 inches over Colima and coastal
sections of Jalisco, Michoacan, and northern Guerrero in southwest
Mexico. These amounts would likely produce life-threatening flash
flooding and mudslides over portions of southwestern Mexico.
SURF: Swells generated by Enrique will affect the southwestern
coast of Mexico during the next few days. These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.