ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA
Hurricane Enrique Advisory Number 11...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052021
400 PM CDT Sun Jun 27 2021
...CORE OF ENRIQUE JUST OFFSHORE THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO...
...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 380 MI...615 KM SE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...977 MB...28.85 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The government of Mexico has issued a Hurricane Warning from Playa
Perula to Cabo Corrientes.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Playa Perula to Cabo Corrientes Mexico
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Manzanillo to Playa Perula Mexico
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Punta San Telmo to Punta Mita Mexico
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Punta Mita to San Blas Mexico
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12
to 24 hours.
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Enrique was
located near latitude 19.0 North, longitude 105.7 West. Enrique is
moving toward the north near 8 mph (13 km/h). A turn toward the
north-northwest and then northwest is expected to begin tonight.
That general motion should continue thereafter for a few days. On
the forecast track, the core of the hurricane, along with the
strongest winds, are expected to pass near or just offshore
of the southwestern coast of Mexico through tonight.
Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is expected through tonight.
Enrique is then forecast to begin weakening on Monday and continue
to weaken through early this week.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles
The estimated minimum central pressure is 977 mb (28.85 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Key messages for Hurricane Enrique can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5, WMO header WTPZ45
KNHC, and on the web at
WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the
Hurricane Warning area tonight or early Monday. Tropical storm
conditions are occuring in portions of the warning area and will
continue to spread northwestward within the warning area through
tonight. Hurricane conditions are possible in the Hurricane Watch
area tonight. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the
Tropical Storm Watch area tonight and Monday.
RAINFALL: Through Tuesday, the eastern outer bands of Enrique are
expected to produce total rainfall amounts of 6 to 12 inches with
isolated maximum amounts of 18 inches over Colima and coastal
sections of Jalisco, Michoacan, and northern Guerrero in southwest
Mexico. These amounts would likely produce life-threatening flash
flooding and mudslides over portions of southwestern Mexico.
SURF: Swells generated by Enrique will affect the southwestern
coast of Mexico during the next few days. These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.
Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.