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BULLETIN
Hurricane Enrique Advisory Number   5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP052021
400 AM CDT Sat Jun 26 2021
 
...ENRIQUE BECOMES A HURRICANE AND ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
EXPECTED...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.7N 104.7W
ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM SSE OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Zihuatanejo to Cabo Corrientes Mexico
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Cabo Corrientes to San Blas Mexico
 
A Hurricane Watch may be required for portions of the southwestern
coast of Mexico later today.
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Enrique was
located near latitude 16.7 North, longitude 104.7 West. Enrique is
moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h).  The storm is
forecast to gradually slow down and turn toward the northwest
tonight or Sunday, and then continue on a northwesterly heading 
through Monday.  On the forecast track, the core of Enrique is 
expected to remain offshore roughly parallel to the southwestern
coast of Mexico during the next two to three days.
 
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h) 
with higher gusts.  Additional rapid strengthening is forecast 
during the next day or so.
 
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles
(220 km).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 988 mb (29.18 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Enrique can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5, WMO
header WTPZ45 KNHC, and on the web
at www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?key_messages.
 
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are likely occuring in the
eastern portions of the warning area.  These winds are expected to
spread westward within the warning area tonight and through
the weekend.  Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch
area on Sunday.
 
RAINFALL:  Through Monday, Enrique is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 6 to 12 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 18
inches over Colima and coastal sections of Michoacan and Jalisco in
southwest Mexico. These amounts would likely produce life-
threatening flash flooding and mudslides over portions of
southwestern Mexico.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Enrique will affect the southwestern
coast of Mexico during the next few days. These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please
consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Beven
 
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