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HURRICANE LARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122021
0300 UTC THU SEP 09 2021
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N  60.3W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  969 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 80NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT.......120NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT.......210NE 210SE 150SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..460NE 290SE 270SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N  60.3W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.1N  59.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 31.5N  61.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT...110NE 100SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 34.9N  62.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE 130SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 39.3N  60.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  70SE  50SW  40NW.
50 KT...110NE 120SE  90SW  70NW.
34 KT...200NE 210SE 160SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 45.2N  55.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  70SE  40SW  30NW.
50 KT...100NE 120SE 100SW  70NW.
34 KT...190NE 230SE 210SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 51.6N  48.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 110SE  80SW  60NW.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 220SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 57.4N  41.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...130NE 140SE  80SW  60NW.
34 KT...300NE 280SE 200SW 170NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 63.8N  35.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.7N  60.3W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 09/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
 
 
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