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HURRICANE LARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122021
2100 UTC WED SEP 08 2021
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N  59.2W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  966 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT.......100NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT.......190NE 210SE 150SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 300SE 270SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N  59.2W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.3N  58.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 30.6N  60.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...190NE 210SE 150SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 33.3N  61.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...190NE 210SE 150SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 37.0N  61.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...190NE 200SE 150SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 42.0N  58.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...190NE 200SE 160SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 48.0N  52.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  80SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 54.0N  45.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  80SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 190SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 62.0N  37.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z...MERGED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.9N  59.2W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 09/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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