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HURRICANE LARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122021
0900 UTC WED SEP 08 2021
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 36
HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N  57.3W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  967 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT.......100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE 120SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 300SE 330SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N  57.3W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.2N  57.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 28.0N  58.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 30.1N  60.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 120SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 32.9N  61.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 120SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 36.7N  61.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 41.7N  58.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  80SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 47.3N  52.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  80SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 190SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 58.8N  40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 65.0N  33.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.5N  57.3W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 08/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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