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HURRICANE LARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122021
1500 UTC FRI SEP 03 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  40.7W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT.......130NE 110SE  70SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 240SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  40.7W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N  40.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 15.4N  42.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  70SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 16.5N  45.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 100SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 17.6N  47.6W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  35SW  50NW.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE  90SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 19.0N  49.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 55NE  45SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 20.2N  51.8W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 21.4N  53.6W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 24.2N  56.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 27.8N  60.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N  40.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
 
 
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