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HURRICANE LARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122021
1500 UTC THU SEP 02 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N  34.2W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 140SE  80SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 135SE  90SW 135NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N  34.2W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N  33.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 13.8N  36.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 160SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 14.4N  39.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 15.3N  42.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  90SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 16.5N  45.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 17.9N  47.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 19.2N  49.7W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 21.8N  53.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 24.6N  56.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N  34.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
 
 
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