ZCZC MIATCMAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE GRACE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072021
0300 UTC THU AUG 19 2021
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH
FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM PUERTO VERACRUZ TO CABO
ROJO... AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM THE COAST OF MAINLAND
MEXICO NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO PUERTO DE ALTAMIRA.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM CANCUN TO PUNTA
HERRERO...INCLUDING COZUMEL
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM PUERTO VERACRUZ TO CABO ROJO
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM NORTH OF CANCUN TO CAMPECHE
* YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF PUNTA HERRERO TO PUERTO
COSTA MAYA
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHERN COAST CUBAN PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO...AS WELL AS ISLA
DE LA JUVENTUD
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO PUERTO DE
ALTAMIRA
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-
FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN EASTERN MAINLAND MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GRACE.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 85.6W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT.......120NE 90SE 60SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 85.6W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 84.8W
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 20.3N 88.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 20SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 20.6N 91.4W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 60SE 40SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 20.7N 94.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 40SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 20.5N 96.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 40SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.0N 98.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 19.7N 101.6W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.8N 85.6W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 19/0600Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN