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TROPICAL STORM ELSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021
0900 UTC THU JUL 08 2021
CORRECTED WARNING SECTION
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT NORTH OF GREAT EGG
INLET... NEW JERSEY TO SANDY HOOK...NEW JERSEY...AND FOR THE COAST
OF LONG ISLAND FROM EAST ROCKAWAY INLET TO THE EASTERN TIP ALONG THE
SOUTH SHORE AND FROM PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR EASTWARD ON THE NORTH
SHORE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FROM NEW HAVEN...
CONNECTICUT TO MERRIMACK RIVER...MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING
CAPE COD...BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHA'S VINEYARD...AND NANTUCKET.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA TO SANDY HOOK...NEW JERSEY
* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS
* CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NORTH BEACH AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC SOUTH
OF COBB ISLAND
* DELAWARE BAY SOUTH OF SLAUGHTER BEACH
* LONG ISLAND FROM EAST ROCKAWAY INLET TO THE EASTERN TIP ALONG THE
SOUTH SHORE AND FROM PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR EASTWARD ON THE NORTH
SHORE
* NEW HAVEN...CONNECTICUT TO MERRIMACK RIVER...MASSACHUSETTS
INCLUDING CAPE COD...BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHA'S VINEYARD...AND
NANTUCKET
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES AND THE
CANADIAN MARITIMES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ELSA.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.4N 81.3W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 16 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.4N 81.3W AT 08/0900Z...INLAND
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.7N 82.0W...INLAND
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 35.5N 79.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 38.8N 75.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 130SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 42.5N 70.1W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 140SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 46.9N 63.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 140SE 60SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 51.9N 54.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 120SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 56.6N 44.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 0NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.4N 81.3W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 08/1200Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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