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POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE THREE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032021
0300 UTC SAT JUN 19 2021
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE THREE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 28.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) X(11) X(11)
LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ATLANTA GA 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 7(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12)
SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
APALACHICOLA 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 3 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
DESTIN EXEC AP 34 7 5(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
COLUMBUS GA 34 X 2( 2) 12(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
BIRMINGHAM AL 34 2 5( 7) 5(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
MONTGOMERY AL 34 3 11(14) 11(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
WHITING FLD FL 34 13 10(23) 2(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
PENSACOLA FL 34 16 10(26) X(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 9 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
MOBILE AL 34 63 7(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70)
GULFPORT MS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GULFPORT MS 50 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
STENNIS MS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
STENNIS MS 50 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BURAS LA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
JACKSON MS 34 15 2(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NEW ORLEANS LA 50 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GFMX 280N 910W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BATON ROUGE LA 34 22 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
MORGAN CITY LA 34 34 X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
LAFAYETTE LA 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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