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TROPICAL STORM HERNAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132020
0300 UTC THU AUG 27 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 105.8W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  70SE  90SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 120SE 120SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 105.8W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 105.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 19.0N 105.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  50SE  60SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 20.2N 106.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 21.4N 108.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 22.0N 109.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 22.5N 112.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 22.5N 113.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 22.4N 115.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 105.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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