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BULLETIN
Hurricane Genevieve Advisory Number   6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP122020
400 PM CDT Mon Aug 17 2020
 
...GENEVIEVE CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA 
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.5N 104.6W
ABOUT 240 MI...390 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 615 MI...990 KM SE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
 
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for the
southern portion of the Baja peninsula from Los Barriles on the
east coast to Todos Santos on the west coast.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Southern Baja California peninsula from Los Barriles to Todos
Santos
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Genevieve was
located near latitude 15.5 North, longitude 104.6 West. Genevieve is
moving toward the west-northwest near 18 mph (30 km/h), and this
motion is expected to continue through early Tuesday.  A turn
to the northwest with a decrease in forward speed is forecast to
occur by Tuesday afternoon and continue through at least early
Thursday.  On the forecast track, the center of Genevieve is
expected to move parallel to but well offshore the coast of
southwestern Mexico during the next day or so. The center of the
hurricane is forecast to pass near or southwest of the southern
portion of the Baja California peninsula on Wednesday night and
Thursday.
 
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph (140 km/h)
with higher gusts. Rapid strengthening is forecast to continue
during the next 24 to 36 hours, and Genevieve is expected to become
a major hurricane on Tuesday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles
(220 km).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 985 mb (29.09 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch
area in the southern Baja California peninsula by Wednesday
afternoon.
 
SURF:  Large swells produced by Genevieve are affecting portions of
the southern coast of Mexico and will spread northward along
the southwestern and west-central coast of Mexico to the Baja
California peninsula through Wednesday.  These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please
consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Brown
 
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