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HURRICANE DOUGLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP082020
1500 UTC MON JUL 27 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS HAS
BEEN UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE WARNING.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM FRENCH FRIGATE
SHOALS TO MARO REEF.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM MARO REEF TO
LISIANSKI.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM
NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM
MARO REEF TO LISIANSKI
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 36
HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
TO 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT TO 36 TO 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL
MONUMENT SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 160.4W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  25SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  40SE  30SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE 120SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 160.4W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 159.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 23.3N 163.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 23.7N 166.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 24.1N 170.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  20SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 24.5N 174.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  20SE  10SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 25.0N 178.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 25.6N 178.1E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.9N 160.4W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 PHFO/HFOTCPCP2...AT 27/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BIRCHARD
 
 
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