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Tropical Depression Seven-E Discussion Number   5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP072020
200 AM PDT Tue Jul 21 2020
 
The cyclone is now devoid of all deep convection. If deep convection 
does not redevelop soon, it will become a remnant low early Tuesday. 
The system is moving over 24 to 25 deg C waters, thus long-term
redevelopment of organized deep convection is not anticipated.
 
The cyclone has turned toward the west, and a general westward 
motion is expected for the next day or so as the shallow low is 
steered primarily by low-level easterly flow. A pair of ASCAT passes 
near 06Z surprisingly showed winds of 30-35 kt, but given the lack 
of convection, it seems reasonable to assume that the winds have 
decreased a little since that time so the initial intensity is set 
at 30 kt. The low should gradually spin down over the course of the 
next day or so until it dissipates. No changes of significance were 
made to the previous NHC track or intensity forecast.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  21/0900Z 19.3N 133.0W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  21/1800Z 19.2N 134.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  22/0600Z 18.7N 137.1W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  22/1800Z 17.7N 140.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  23/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Zelinsky
 
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