ZCZC MIATCDEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Depression Seven-E Discussion Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072020 200 AM PDT Tue Jul 21 2020 The cyclone is now devoid of all deep convection. If deep convection does not redevelop soon, it will become a remnant low early Tuesday. The system is moving over 24 to 25 deg C waters, thus long-term redevelopment of organized deep convection is not anticipated. The cyclone has turned toward the west, and a general westward motion is expected for the next day or so as the shallow low is steered primarily by low-level easterly flow. A pair of ASCAT passes near 06Z surprisingly showed winds of 30-35 kt, but given the lack of convection, it seems reasonable to assume that the winds have decreased a little since that time so the initial intensity is set at 30 kt. The low should gradually spin down over the course of the next day or so until it dissipates. No changes of significance were made to the previous NHC track or intensity forecast. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 21/0900Z 19.3N 133.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 21/1800Z 19.2N 134.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 22/0600Z 18.7N 137.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 22/1800Z 17.7N 140.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 23/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Zelinsky NNNN
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