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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL292020
0300 UTC FRI NOV 06 2020
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ETA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5)
THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7)
ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) 3(15)
PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) 3(15)
FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 9(18) 2(20)
FT PIERCE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 11(25) 2(27)
W PALM BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6)
W PALM BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 12(31) 2(33)
FT LAUDERDALE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9)
FT LAUDERDALE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 10(22) 3(25)
MIAMI FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5)
HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 9(23) 2(25)
HOMESTEAD ARB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6)
HOMESTEAD ARB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 12(34) 4(38)
MARATHON FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) 2(13)
MARATHON FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 13(29) 5(34)
KEY WEST FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 3(12)
KEY WEST FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
NAPLES FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 17(28) 5(33)
NAPLES FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8)
NAPLES FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) 3(19)
FT MYERS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 16(21) 7(28)
VENICE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6)
TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) 6(19)
TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 6(13)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8)
GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
COZUMEL MX 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)
BELIZE CITY 34 4 X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GUANAJA 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 7(22) 2(24)
GRAND BAHAMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
GRAND BAHAMA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 5(23) 1(24)
NEW PROVIDENCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 23(24) 4(28) 1(29)
ANDROS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
ANDROS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 1(11) 1(12)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5)
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 4( 8) 4(12)
HAVANA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 7(11) 7(18) 4(22)
HAVANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5)
HAVANA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) 3(19) 3(22) 1(23)
ISLE OF PINES 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5)
ISLE OF PINES 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 23(30) 1(31) 1(32)
CIENFUEGOS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
CIENFUEGOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 17(19) 1(20) X(20)
CAMAGUEY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
GRAND CAYMAN 34 X 1( 1) 14(15) 27(42) 3(45) 1(46) X(46)
GRAND CAYMAN 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
GRAND CAYMAN 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
MONTEGO BAY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
KINGSTON 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PENSACOLA NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
KEESLER AB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
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