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HURRICANE ETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL292020
0900 UTC TUE NOV 03 2020
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8
NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 130
KTS...150 MPH...240 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
FRONTERA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4)
BELIZE CITY 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) 7(11) 5(16) 1(17)
BELIZE CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) X( 7)
BELIZE CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
PUERTO BARRIOS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 8(14) 3(17) X(17)
PUERTO BARRIOS 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) X( 8)
PUERTO BARRIOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
GUANAJA 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) 5( 9) 3(12) 4(16) 2(18)
GUANAJA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) X( 6)
GUANAJA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
PUERTO CABEZAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PUERTO CABEZAS 50 92 1(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93)
PUERTO CABEZAS 64 69 4(73) X(73) 1(74) X(74) X(74) X(74)
BLUEFIELDS 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
SAN ANDRES 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
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