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TROPICAL STORM ETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL292020
1500 UTC SUN NOV 01 2020
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
BELIZE CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 5(13)
BELIZE CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
PUERTO BARRIOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 7(14)
GUANAJA 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) 9(18) 5(23) 4(27)
GUANAJA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8)
GUANAJA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
PUERTO CABEZAS 34 X 1( 1) 18(19) 25(44) 16(60) 3(63) 1(64)
PUERTO CABEZAS 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 13(27) 2(29) X(29)
PUERTO CABEZAS 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) X(10) X(10)
BLUEFIELDS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 13(19) 4(23) 1(24)
BLUEFIELDS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
BLUEFIELDS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
SAN ANDRES 34 X 3( 3) 11(14) 11(25) 8(33) 2(35) 1(36)
SAN ANDRES 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) 2(10) X(10)
SAN ANDRES 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
LIMON 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
GRAND CAYMAN 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
MONTEGO BAY 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
KINGSTON 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
$$
FORECASTER REINHART/BROWN
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