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HURRICANE ZETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL282020
0300 UTC TUE OCT 27 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA ALLEN TO PROGRESO MEXICO
* COZUMEL
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA TO NAVARRE FLORIDA
* LAKE BORGNE...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...VERMILION BAY...PENSACOLA
BAY...AND MOBILE BAY
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER
* LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...LAKE MAUREPAS...AND METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER TO OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE FLORIDA
* WEST OF MORGAN CITY TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 6
HOURS.
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N  87.1W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 110SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N  87.1W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N  86.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 21.3N  88.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 23.1N  90.7W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 25.6N  91.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 29.1N  90.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 33.8N  85.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  50SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 38.5N  76.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 150SE 150SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N  87.1W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 27/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE

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