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HURRICANE EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL272020
0300 UTC THU OCT 22 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.6N  60.6W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  953 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......300NE 150SE 120SW 300NW.
12 FT SEAS..680NE 480SE 600SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.6N  60.6W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.5N  60.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 30.5N  61.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...300NE 150SE 130SW 260NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 31.8N  61.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...270NE 180SE 140SW 220NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 33.2N  62.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...250NE 200SE 150SW 210NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 34.9N  62.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...270NE 200SE 150SW 210NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 36.9N  61.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...270NE 220SE 170SW 210NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 39.2N  58.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 100SE  80SW  80NW.
34 KT...270NE 250SE 220SW 220NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 46.5N  42.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 56.0N  25.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.6N  60.6W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 22/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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