Tropical Storm BETA

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TROPICAL STORM BETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL222020
2100 UTC FRI SEP 18 2020
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF BETA.  STORM SURGE AND TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE 
WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN GULF 
COAST TONIGHT OR ON SATURDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N  93.1W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  25 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE   0SE   0SW  80NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N  93.1W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.9N  93.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 25.1N  92.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  30SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 25.9N  93.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 26.1N  93.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 26.3N  94.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...140NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 26.5N  95.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 26.8N  96.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 27.5N  96.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 28.5N  96.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.3N  93.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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