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TROPICAL STORM VICKY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL212020
0300 UTC TUE SEP 15 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N  29.9W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N  29.9W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N  29.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 20.5N  31.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 21.4N  32.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 22.0N  34.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 22.3N  37.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 22.5N  39.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 22.5N  41.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 22.5N  44.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N  29.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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