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TROPICAL STORM TEDDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202020
0900 UTC MON SEP 14 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  40.4W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE   0SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 210SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  40.4W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N  39.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 13.8N  42.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 14.3N  44.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 15.0N  46.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  50SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 15.9N  48.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  60SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 16.9N  49.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  70SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 18.3N  50.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  80SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 21.0N  53.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 23.9N  55.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N  40.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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