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Tropical Depression Fourteen Advisory Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142020
1100 AM EDT Fri Aug 21 2020
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN MOVING NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...
...EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN AS IT APPROACHES THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
ABOUT 165 MI...270 KM E OF ISLA ROATAN HONDURAS
ABOUT 325 MI...525 KM SE OF COZUMEL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for the
northern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula north and west of Cancun to
The government of Honduras has discontinued the Tropical Storm
Warning for the coast of Honduras from the Honduras/Nicaragua
border westward to Punta Castilla.
The government of Nicaragua has discontinued the Tropical Storm
Warning for Nicaragua.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Punta Herrero to Cancun Mexico
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Bay Islands of Honduras
* Punta Herrero to Cancun Mexico
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* North and west of Cancun to Dzilam Mexico
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, generally within 36
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen was located near latitude 16.6 North, longitude 84.1 West.
The depression is moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22
km/h). A slower northwestward motion is expected over the next
couple of days, followed by an increase in speed by Sunday and
Monday. On the forecast track, the center of the depression will
move away from the coast of Honduras today and will approach the
east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico on Saturday. The
center will then cross the northeastern part of the Yucatan
Peninsula Saturday night and move over the central Gulf
of Mexico toward the northwestern Gulf on Sunday and Monday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days,
and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm later
today. The system is forecast to be near or at hurricane strength
when it reaches the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico late Saturday. Some
weakening is expected as it moves over the Yucatan Peninsula
Saturday night. Afterward, restrengthening is forecast on Sunday
as it moves offshore and enters the southern Gulf of Mexico.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
eastern Yucatan coast within the warning area by Saturday afternoon,
making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Hurricane
conditions are also possible within the watch area by late Saturday.
Tropical storm conditions are possible within the tropical storm
watch area on the northern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula Saturday
night and Sunday.
Tropical storm conditions are still possible over the Bay Islands
of Honduras today.
RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce the following
rainfall accumulations through Sunday:
Eastern portions of the Mexican states of Quintana Roo and Yucatan:
3 to 6 inches, isolated maximum totals of 10 inches. This rainfall
may result in areas of flash flooding.
Eastern Honduras: 2 to 4 inches.
Northeast Nicaragua and the Cayman Islands: 1 to 2 inches
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT.