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Tropical Depression Fourteen Advisory Number   1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL142020
1100 AM EDT Thu Aug 20 2020
 
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE WEST-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF HONDURAS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.1N 79.7W
ABOUT 235 MI...375 KM E OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
The government of Honduras has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for
the coast of Honduras from the Honduras/Nicaragua border westward
to Punta Castilla and for the Bay Islands of Honduras.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Honduras/Nicaragua border westward to Punta Castilla Honduras
* Bay Islands of Honduras
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 36
hours.
 
Additional watches or warnings, including for the Yucatan Peninsula
of Mexico, may be required later today.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen was located near latitude 15.1 North, longitude 79.7 West.
The depression is moving toward the west near 21 mph (33 km/h), and
a westward motion is expected to continue through this evening.  A 
turn toward the west-northwest and northwest with a decrease in 
forward speed is forecast tonight and Friday, with a general 
northwest motion continuing through at least Sunday.  On the 
forecast track, the center of the system will move near or just 
north of the northeastern coast of Honduras and the Bay Islands on 
Friday and will approach the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula of 
Mexico on Saturday.  The center is then expected to cross the 
Yucatan Peninsula Saturday night and move into the south-central 
Gulf of Mexico on Sunday.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and the 
depression is expected to become a tropical storm later today or 
tonight.  The system could be near or at hurricane strength when it 
reaches the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico late Saturday.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch
area tonight and on Friday.

RAINFALL:  The depression is expected to produce 1 to 2 inches 
of rain across Jamaica and northern Nicaragua, and 2 to 4 inches 
over portions of Honduras through Saturday.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Berg
 
NNNN