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TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032020
1500 UTC TUE JUN 02 2020
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAMPECHE TO PUERTO DE VERACRUZ
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 92.6W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 3 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 92.6W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 92.5W
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 19.5N 92.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.0N 92.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 18.8N 92.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 18.8N 92.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 18.9N 91.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 19.8N 91.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 50SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 22.0N 91.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 26.0N 91.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N 92.6W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 02/1800Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
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