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TROPICAL STORM NARDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162019
1500 UTC SUN SEP 29 2019
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ACAPULCO TO CABO CORRIENTES
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 102.1W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 100SE 60SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 360SE 240SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 102.1W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 101.5W
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 19.3N 103.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 21.5N 105.6W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 23.2N 107.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 24.5N 108.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 26.5N 109.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 28.0N 110.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 102.1W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 29/1800Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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