ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE LORENA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  16                
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152019               
0900 UTC SAT SEP 21 2019                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LORENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
24.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.                                         
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
PUNTA EUGENIA  34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
P ABREOJOS     34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
LA PAZ         34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
LA PAZ         50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
LORETO         34 23  31(54)   1(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)
LORETO         50  3   6( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
LORETO         64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
P PENASCO      34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
HERMOSILLO     34  X   2( 2)  18(20)   5(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
HERMOSILLO     50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
BAHIA KINO     34  X  13(13)  41(54)   5(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)
BAHIA KINO     50  X   1( 1)  17(18)   4(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
BAHIA KINO     64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GUAYMAS        34  X  45(45)  17(62)   1(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)
GUAYMAS        50  X  11(11)   8(19)   1(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
GUAYMAS        64  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
HUATABAMPO     34  1   3( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI                                               
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