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Tropical Depression MARIO


ZCZC MIATCDEP4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Depression Mario Discussion Number  21
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP142019
900 AM MDT Sun Sep 22 2019

After being devoid of deep convection since yesterday, a couple of
thunderstorms have formed just to the southwest of the cyclone's
center. Although this barely qualifies the system to retain tropical
cyclone status, advisories are being continued for the time being.
However, Mario should degenerate into a remnant low in 12 hours or
so.

The weakening low is expected to turn northward and move over the
Baja California peninsula on Tuesday, and dissipate later that day.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  22/1500Z 22.0N 111.9W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  23/0000Z 23.3N 112.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  23/1200Z 24.8N 113.7W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  24/0000Z 26.3N 114.1W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  24/1200Z 27.9N 113.6W   15 KT  15 MPH...INLAND
 72H  25/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Pasch

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