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HURRICANE FLOSSIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072019
1500 UTC WED JUL 31 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 125.8W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE   0SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 125.8W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 125.1W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 14.5N 127.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 15.2N 130.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 15.8N 133.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.2N 135.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 17.2N 141.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  50SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 17.8N 146.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 19.0N 151.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 125.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY


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