Tropical Storm ERICK

ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM ERICK WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062019
0300 UTC SUN JUL 28 2019

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERICK WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 126.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

10N 135W       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

15N 135W       34  X   X( X)   7( 7)  18(25)   2(27)   X(27)   X(27)
15N 135W       50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
15N 135W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

10N 140W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)

15N 140W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  67(72)   1(73)   X(73)
15N 140W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  39(39)   1(40)   X(40)
15N 140W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  21(21)   X(21)   X(21)

20N 140W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

10N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)  46(57)   1(58)
15N 145W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  23(24)   2(26)
15N 145W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   1(11)

20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   2(12)

15N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  21(27)
15N 150W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)
15N 150W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

20N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  13(16)
20N 150W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

20N 151W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  12(14)
20N 151W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

BUOY 51004     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  18(19)
BUOY 51004     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
BUOY 51004     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)

20N 154W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

15N 155W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

18N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

$$
FORECASTER LATTO/BEVEN
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