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HURRICANE ERICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP062019
0900 UTC THU AUG 01 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 150.9W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  978 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  10SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  35SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  70SE  40SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 150SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 150.9W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 150.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 15.7N 152.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  10SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  20SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 16.2N 155.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  10SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 16.6N 158.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  30SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 17.2N 160.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  10SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 18.6N 164.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 20.0N 167.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 21.5N 169.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 150.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BIRCHARD
 
 
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